YEARLY HIGH
6.9515 TRY
YEARLY LOW
3.7340 TRY
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8404 TRY

2018 BMD to TRY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BMD to TRY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 13, valuing the pair at 6.9515. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 3.7340.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.2174 TRY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7712 to the December average rate of 5.3107, the exchange rate registered a net change of 40.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.9515 was up 75.29% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.9657, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,757 TRY
2017 Average 18,232 TRY
Yearly Trough Low 18,670 TRY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,087.04 TRY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.5689
3.5169
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to TRY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0953, compared to 5.5854 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4901 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0953
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5854

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.9679 TRY (High: 6.9515 / Low: 4.9835). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0895 TRY (High: 3.8239 / Low: 3.7344).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.9679
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0895

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.4993 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4993

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 5.9393) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.5068), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4325 (+69.37%).

2018 Avg (August) 5.9393
2017 Avg (August) 3.5068

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8290 3.7340 3.7712
February 3.8239 3.7344 3.7854
March 4.0136 3.7991 3.8933
April 4.1418 3.9556 4.0626
May 4.7574 4.1089 4.4292
June 4.7457 4.4724 4.6302
July 4.9192 4.5704 4.7718
August 6.9515 4.9835 5.9393
September 6.6616 6.0095 6.3146
October 6.1864 5.4720 5.8153
November 5.5248 5.1694 5.3609
December 5.3887 5.1975 5.3107