YEARLY HIGH
0.2055 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.1628 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1755 KES

2021 AOA to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the AOA to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 0.2055. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 10, dropping to 0.1628.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0427 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1676 to the December average rate of 0.2005, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.2055 was down 2.58% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.2110, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,028 KES
2020 Average 927 KES
Yearly Trough Low 814 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 213.69 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.2040
0.1617
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1688, compared to 0.1822 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0134 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1688
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1822

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.0127 KES (High: 0.1991 / Low: 0.1864). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 KES (High: 0.1864 / Low: 0.1845).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0127
October Spread (Stable) Âą0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0082 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0082

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 0.2005) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.1686), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0319 (+18.90%).

2021 Avg (December) 0.2005
2020 Avg (December) 0.1686

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Month High Low Average
January 0.1686 0.1667 0.1676
February 0.1726 0.1676 0.1683
March 0.1786 0.1737 0.1762
April 0.1733 0.1643 0.1679
May 0.1679 0.1628 0.1652
June 0.1681 0.1659 0.1675
July 0.1701 0.1673 0.1685
August 0.1731 0.1700 0.1716
September 0.1844 0.1734 0.1783
October 0.1864 0.1845 0.1855
November 0.1991 0.1864 0.1890
December 0.2055 0.1980 0.2005