YEARLY HIGH
6.0698 BDT
YEARLY LOW
4.9501 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.3323 BDT

2016 ARS to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 6.0698. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 4.9501.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1197 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7897 to the December average rate of 5.0075, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.0698 was down 33.99% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.1947, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,349 BDT
2015 Average 42,310 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 24,751 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,598.27 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

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5.8679
4.9293
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4880, compared to 5.1765 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3115 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4880
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1765

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.6006 BDT (High: 5.5720 / Low: 4.9714). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0796 BDT (High: 5.1918 / Low: 5.1122).

February Spread (Volatile) Âą0.6006
October Spread (Stable) Âą0.0796

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.4725 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4725

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.7897) against the same month in 2015 (average: 9.0606), the exchange rate shifted by -3.2710 (-36.10%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.7897
2015 Avg (January) 9.0606

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Month High Low Average
January 6.0698 5.6470 5.7897
February 5.5720 4.9714 5.3172
March 5.4211 4.9886 5.2578
April 5.5832 5.3040 5.4463
May 5.6485 5.4873 5.5602
June 5.7134 5.1462 5.5569
July 5.3736 5.2043 5.2641
August 5.3461 5.2241 5.2840
September 5.2463 5.1123 5.1953
October 5.1918 5.1122 5.1644
November 5.2756 5.0175 5.1436
December 5.1121 4.9501 5.0075