YEARLY HIGH
0.1390 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.1136 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1200 BGN

2016 ARS to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.1390. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 29, dropping to 0.1136.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0254 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1328 to the December average rate of 0.1172, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1390 was down 34.46% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2121, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 695 BGN
2015 Average 957 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 568 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 126.90 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.1345
0.1139
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1226, compared to 0.1173 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0052 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1226
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1173

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0140 BGN (High: 0.1278 / Low: 0.1138). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0029 BGN (High: 0.1195 / Low: 0.1166).

February Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0140
November Spread (Stable) Âą0.0029

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0136 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0136

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.1328) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1957), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0629 (-32.14%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.1328
2015 Avg (January) 0.1957

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Month High Low Average
January 0.1390 0.1292 0.1328
February 0.1278 0.1138 0.1192
March 0.1208 0.1142 0.1179
April 0.1234 0.1161 0.1199
May 0.1264 0.1195 0.1226
June 0.1268 0.1163 0.1231
July 0.1211 0.1167 0.1186
August 0.1195 0.1158 0.1176
September 0.1173 0.1136 0.1156
October 0.1186 0.1137 0.1168
November 0.1195 0.1166 0.1182
December 0.1209 0.1141 0.1172