YEARLY HIGH
0.0291 BHD
YEARLY LOW
0.0235 BHD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0256 BHD

2016 ARS to BHD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to BHD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.0291. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 0.0235.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0056 BHD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0278 to the December average rate of 0.0238, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0291 was down 34.19% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0443, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 146 BHD
2015 Average 205 BHD
Yearly Trough Low 118 BHD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 28.09 BHD purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.0282
0.0234
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BHD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0264, compared to 0.0248 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0015 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0264
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0248

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0029 BHD (High: 0.0268 / Low: 0.0239). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 BHD (High: 0.0249 / Low: 0.0246).

February Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0029
October Spread (Stable) Âą0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0023 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0023

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.0278) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0439), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0161 (-36.62%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.0278
2015 Avg (January) 0.0439

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Month High Low Average
January 0.0291 0.0270 0.0278
February 0.0268 0.0239 0.0255
March 0.0261 0.0239 0.0253
April 0.0269 0.0255 0.0262
May 0.0271 0.0264 0.0267
June 0.0274 0.0248 0.0267
July 0.0259 0.0251 0.0253
August 0.0257 0.0251 0.0254
September 0.0253 0.0246 0.0250
October 0.0249 0.0246 0.0248
November 0.0252 0.0239 0.0246
December 0.0244 0.0235 0.0238