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2012 ARS to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012
During 2012, the ARS to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 27, valuing the pair at 12.9317. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 6, dropping to 10.5374.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3944 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.8577 to the December average rate of 11.2048, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 12.9317 was up 3.14% compared to the 2011 peak of 12.5381, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
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ARS to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 11.8737, compared to 11.3163 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.5575 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 1.1446 BTN (High: 12.3597 / Low: 11.2151). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1543 BTN (High: 11.2652 / Low: 11.1109).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7395 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 12.4967) against the same month in 2011 (average: 10.9519), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5448 (+14.11%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 12.3656 | 11.3739 | 11.8577 |
| February | 11.4939 | 11.2337 | 11.3330 |
| March | 11.7474 | 11.3984 | 11.5616 |
| April | 11.9613 | 11.5778 | 11.7632 |
| May | 12.5692 | 11.9467 | 12.2302 |
| June | 12.9317 | 12.2716 | 12.4967 |
| July | 12.3597 | 11.2151 | 11.7572 |
| August | 11.2652 | 11.1109 | 11.1683 |
| September | 11.5988 | 10.6509 | 11.1189 |
| October | 11.3608 | 10.5374 | 11.2127 |
| November | 11.5597 | 11.2593 | 11.4358 |
| December | 11.3204 | 11.1441 | 11.2048 |