YEARLY HIGH
7.8405 CVE
YEARLY LOW
6.4060 CVE
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.7629 CVE

2016 ARS to CVE Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to CVE exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 7.8405. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 29, dropping to 6.4060.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4345 CVE. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.4863 to the December average rate of 6.6065, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.8405 was down 34.08% compared to the 2015 peak of 11.8940, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,202 CVE
2015 Average 53,927 CVE
Yearly Trough Low 32,030 CVE
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,172.46 CVE purely based on transaction execution date.

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7.5833
6.4198
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to CVE Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.9122, compared to 6.6136 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2986 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.9122
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6136

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.7991 CVE (High: 7.2090 / Low: 6.4099). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1496 CVE (High: 6.7365 / Low: 6.5869).

February Spread (Volatile) Âą0.7991
November Spread (Stable) Âą0.1496

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.7597 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7597

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 7.4863) against the same month in 2015 (average: 11.0074), the exchange rate shifted by -3.5211 (-31.99%).

2016 Avg (January) 7.4863
2015 Avg (January) 11.0074

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Month High Low Average
January 7.8405 7.2777 7.4863
February 7.2090 6.4099 6.7266
March 6.8108 6.4428 6.6578
April 6.9622 6.5673 6.7610
May 7.0953 6.7216 6.8939
June 7.1163 6.5561 6.9474
July 6.8237 6.5810 6.6855
August 6.7401 6.5243 6.6301
September 6.6200 6.4060 6.5168
October 6.6850 6.4061 6.5811
November 6.7365 6.5869 6.6614
December 6.8402 6.4178 6.6065