YEARLY HIGH
7.2325 GMD
YEARLY LOW
6.1362 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.8446 GMD

2012 ARS to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 31, valuing the pair at 7.2325. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 6.1362.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0963 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.8649 to the December average rate of 6.3622, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 7.2325 was up 0.91% compared to the 2011 peak of 7.1676, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,162 GMD
2011 Average 34,140 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 30,681 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,481.42 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

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7.1612
6.2896
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.8869, compared to 6.8022 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0847 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.8869
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.8022

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 0.8948 GMD (High: 7.1398 / Low: 6.2449). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1740 GMD (High: 6.9194 / Low: 6.7454).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.8948
May Spread (Stable) Âą0.1740

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.6317 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6317

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 6.9123) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.6833), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2290 (+3.43%).

2012 Avg (August) 6.9123
2011 Avg (August) 6.6833

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Month High Low Average
January 7.0163 6.6571 6.8649
February 7.1317 6.7358 6.9834
March 7.1085 6.7516 7.0061
April 6.8641 6.6125 6.7347
May 6.9194 6.7454 6.8314
June 7.0737 6.7178 6.9010
July 6.9889 6.8130 6.9143
August 7.2325 6.8081 6.9123
September 7.2263 7.0050 7.0790
October 7.1982 6.9769 7.0886
November 7.1398 6.2449 6.4569
December 6.6268 6.1362 6.3622