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2021 ARS to LBP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the ARS to LBP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 18.0220. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 14.7213.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3007 LBP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.6577 to the December average rate of 14.9160, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 18.0220 was down 30.21% compared to the 2020 peak of 25.8220, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
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ARS to LBP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 16.6625, compared to 15.3887 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 1.2738 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.6728 LBP (High: 18.0220 / Low: 17.3493). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1811 LBP (High: 15.5599 / Low: 15.3788).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.5665 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 17.6577) against the same month in 2020 (average: 25.2576), the exchange rate shifted by -7.5999 (-30.09%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 18.0220 | 17.3493 | 17.6577 |
| February | 17.3271 | 16.8246 | 17.0912 |
| March | 17.0043 | 16.4598 | 16.7032 |
| April | 16.5671 | 16.1793 | 16.3594 |
| May | 16.2925 | 15.9426 | 16.1743 |
| June | 16.1949 | 15.8046 | 15.9893 |
| July | 16.0544 | 15.6334 | 15.8090 |
| August | 15.7495 | 15.4558 | 15.5907 |
| September | 15.5599 | 15.3788 | 15.4655 |
| October | 15.4884 | 15.2078 | 15.3530 |
| November | 15.3183 | 15.0144 | 15.1979 |
| December | 15.1442 | 14.7213 | 14.9160 |