YEARLY HIGH
2.7704 MUR
YEARLY LOW
2.2415 MUR
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4115 MUR

2016 ARS to MUR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to MUR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 2.7704. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 2.2415.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5289 MUR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6603 to the December average rate of 2.2688, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.7704 was down 33.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.1792, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,852 MUR
2015 Average 19,054 MUR
Yearly Trough Low 11,207 MUR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,644.60 MUR purely based on transaction execution date.

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2.6995
2.2297
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MUR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4848, compared to 2.3381 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1466 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4848
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3381

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.2820 MUR (High: 2.5665 / Low: 2.2845). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0564 MUR (High: 2.3606 / Low: 2.3041).

February Spread (Volatile) Âą0.2820
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.0564

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2408 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2408

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2.6603) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.7543), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0939 (-29.14%).

2016 Avg (January) 2.6603
2015 Avg (January) 3.7543

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Month High Low Average
January 2.7704 2.5917 2.6603
February 2.5665 2.2845 2.4195
March 2.4448 2.2821 2.3882
April 2.5032 2.3822 2.4394
May 2.5364 2.4560 2.4909
June 2.5756 2.3371 2.5103
July 2.4265 2.3512 2.3772
August 2.4010 2.3376 2.3672
September 2.3606 2.3041 2.3379
October 2.3717 2.3085 2.3445
November 2.3827 2.2808 2.3332
December 2.3221 2.2415 2.2688