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2012 ARS to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012
During 2012, the ARS to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 15, valuing the pair at 3.3882. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 1, dropping to 3.0272.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3610 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.2621 to the December average rate of 3.1508, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 3.3882 was down 2.08% compared to the 2011 peak of 3.4602, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
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ARS to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 3.2093, compared to 3.2618 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.0525 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.3610 MVR (High: 3.3882 / Low: 3.0272). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0290 MVR (High: 3.2499 / Low: 3.2209).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0639 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 3.2983) against the same month in 2011 (average: 3.4192), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1209 (-3.54%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.2797 | 3.2455 | 3.2621 |
| February | 3.2544 | 3.2239 | 3.2413 |
| March | 3.2499 | 3.2209 | 3.2334 |
| April | 3.2220 | 3.1883 | 3.2050 |
| May | 3.1965 | 3.1522 | 3.1683 |
| June | 3.1879 | 3.1227 | 3.1456 |
| July | 3.3882 | 3.0272 | 3.2983 |
| August | 3.3801 | 3.3170 | 3.3424 |
| September | 3.3311 | 3.2827 | 3.3014 |
| October | 3.3169 | 3.2344 | 3.2630 |
| November | 3.2347 | 3.1838 | 3.2147 |
| December | 3.1817 | 3.1252 | 3.1508 |