YEARLY HIGH
8.1838 NPR
YEARLY LOW
6.7309 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.2951 NPR

2016 ARS to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 8.1838. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 6.7309.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4529 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9402 to the December average rate of 6.8543, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.1838 was down 31.25% compared to the 2015 peak of 11.9037, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,919 NPR
2015 Average 55,692 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 33,654 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,264.73 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

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8.0488
6.7457
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.5172, compared to 7.0729 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4442 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.5172
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.0729

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.7804 NPR (High: 7.7202 / Low: 6.9398). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1287 NPR (High: 7.0688 / Low: 6.9401).

February Spread (Volatile) Âą0.7804
October Spread (Stable) Âą0.1287

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.5530 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5530

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 7.9402) against the same month in 2015 (average: 11.6049), the exchange rate shifted by -3.6647 (-31.58%).

2016 Avg (January) 7.9402
2015 Avg (January) 11.6049

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Month High Low Average
January 8.1838 7.6912 7.9402
February 7.7202 6.9398 7.3872
March 7.3812 6.9022 7.1870
April 7.5910 7.1752 7.3905
May 7.7122 7.4249 7.5799
June 7.8198 7.1332 7.6182
July 7.3599 7.1321 7.2170
August 7.2914 7.1445 7.2139
September 7.1752 6.9409 7.0755
October 7.0688 6.9401 7.0284
November 7.1271 6.9387 7.0485
December 7.0081 6.7309 6.8543