YEARLY HIGH
0.1753 PGK
YEARLY LOW
0.0803 PGK
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1252 PGK

2018 ARS to PGK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to PGK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.1753. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.0803.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0949 PGK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1697 to the December average rate of 0.0891, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1753 was down 18.72% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2156, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 876 PGK
2017 Average 966 PGK
Yearly Trough Low 402 PGK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 474.58 PGK purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.1780
0.0779
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to PGK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1523, compared to 0.0982 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0542 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1523
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0982

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0355 PGK (High: 0.1210 / Low: 0.0855). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 PGK (High: 0.1619 / Low: 0.1585).

August Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0355
April Spread (Stable) Âą0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0253 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0253

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.1697) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1999), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0303 (-15.15%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.1697
2017 Avg (January) 0.1999

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Month High Low Average
January 0.1753 0.1634 0.1697
February 0.1665 0.1588 0.1622
March 0.1611 0.1577 0.1595
April 0.1619 0.1585 0.1604
May 0.1575 0.1309 0.1391
June 0.1330 0.1137 0.1231
July 0.1210 0.1132 0.1191
August 0.1210 0.0855 0.1116
September 0.0900 0.0803 0.0863
October 0.0934 0.0846 0.0905
November 0.0948 0.0861 0.0924
December 0.0922 0.0878 0.0891