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2017 ARS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017
During 2017, the ARS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 3.8599. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 3.0032.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8567 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7685 to the December average rate of 3.3074, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 3.8599 was down 36.53% compared to the 2016 peak of 6.0812, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
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ARS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 3.6960, compared to 3.3690 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.3271 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2017 was December, with a trading range of 0.4286 RUB (High: 3.4318 / Low: 3.0032). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0813 RUB (High: 3.3553 / Low: 3.2740).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1292 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 3.7685) against the same month in 2016 (average: 5.6465), the exchange rate shifted by -1.8779 (-33.26%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.8599 | 3.7168 | 3.7685 |
| February | 3.8081 | 3.6840 | 3.7524 |
| March | 3.8268 | 3.6325 | 3.7276 |
| April | 3.7566 | 3.6267 | 3.6876 |
| May | 3.8052 | 3.4997 | 3.6383 |
| June | 3.7169 | 3.5146 | 3.6018 |
| July | 3.5789 | 3.3420 | 3.4726 |
| August | 3.5024 | 3.3461 | 3.4099 |
| September | 3.3983 | 3.2908 | 3.3449 |
| October | 3.3553 | 3.2740 | 3.3079 |
| November | 3.4515 | 3.3047 | 3.3712 |
| December | 3.4318 | 3.0032 | 3.3074 |