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2017 ARS to SZL Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017
During 2017, the ARS to SZL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 10, valuing the pair at 0.9168. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.6429.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2739 SZL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8527 to the December average rate of 0.7430, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.9168 was down 27.52% compared to the 2016 peak of 1.2648, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
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ARS to SZL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.8426, compared to 0.7705 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.0721 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2017 was December, with a trading range of 0.1548 SZL (High: 0.7977 / Low: 0.6429). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0311 SZL (High: 0.8653 / Low: 0.8343).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0642 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2017: 0.8781) against the same month in 2016 (average: 1.0154), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1373 (-13.52%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.8662 | 0.8335 | 0.8527 |
| February | 0.8653 | 0.8343 | 0.8481 |
| March | 0.8717 | 0.7997 | 0.8323 |
| April | 0.9168 | 0.8405 | 0.8781 |
| May | 0.8817 | 0.8016 | 0.8442 |
| June | 0.8132 | 0.7806 | 0.8000 |
| July | 0.7942 | 0.7302 | 0.7656 |
| August | 0.7798 | 0.7468 | 0.7598 |
| September | 0.7777 | 0.7435 | 0.7628 |
| October | 0.8072 | 0.7659 | 0.7844 |
| November | 0.8282 | 0.7844 | 0.8072 |
| December | 0.7977 | 0.6429 | 0.7430 |