YEARLY HIGH
0.5723 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.4917 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5313 TJS

2016 ARS to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 15, valuing the pair at 0.5723. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 0.4917.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0806 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5444 to the December average rate of 0.4972, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.5723 was down 18.74% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.7043, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,861 TJS
2015 Average 3,330 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 2,458 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 403.04 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.5633
0.4912
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5443, compared to 0.5183 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0260 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5443
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5183

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0587 TJS (High: 0.5574 / Low: 0.4987). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0103 TJS (High: 0.5219 / Low: 0.5116).

February Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0587
October Spread (Stable) Âą0.0103

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0287 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0287

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.5570) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6915), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1346 (-19.46%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.5570
2015 Avg (June) 0.6915

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Month High Low Average
January 0.5628 0.5155 0.5444
February 0.5574 0.4987 0.5318
March 0.5444 0.4997 0.5283
April 0.5608 0.5322 0.5469
May 0.5656 0.5513 0.5573
June 0.5723 0.5169 0.5570
July 0.5395 0.5228 0.5283
August 0.5368 0.5227 0.5303
September 0.5273 0.5132 0.5216
October 0.5219 0.5116 0.5185
November 0.5256 0.4994 0.5137
December 0.5077 0.4917 0.4972