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2012 ARS to TOP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012
During 2012, the ARS to TOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.4078. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.3526.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0552 TOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4032 to the December average rate of 0.3567, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.4078 was down 14.06% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.4745, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
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ARS to TOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.3936, compared to 0.3720 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.0215 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.0267 TOP (High: 0.4041 / Low: 0.3775). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0041 TOP (High: 0.3896 / Low: 0.3855).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0138 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 0.4032) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.4676), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0643 (-13.76%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.4078 | 0.3931 | 0.4032 |
| February | 0.3941 | 0.3856 | 0.3894 |
| March | 0.3938 | 0.3856 | 0.3874 |
| April | 0.3896 | 0.3855 | 0.3872 |
| May | 0.4041 | 0.3775 | 0.3948 |
| June | 0.4062 | 0.3955 | 0.3994 |
| July | 0.3977 | 0.3809 | 0.3910 |
| August | 0.3830 | 0.3765 | 0.3802 |
| September | 0.3806 | 0.3668 | 0.3733 |
| October | 0.3746 | 0.3646 | 0.3687 |
| November | 0.3698 | 0.3562 | 0.3625 |
| December | 0.3648 | 0.3526 | 0.3567 |