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2021 ARS to TZS Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the ARS to TZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 27.5838. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 22.3981.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.1857 TZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 27.0114 to the December average rate of 22.6043, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 27.5838 was down 28.43% compared to the 2020 peak of 38.5387, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
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ARS to TZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 25.4473, compared to 23.3857 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 2.0616 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 1.0211 TZS (High: 27.5838 / Low: 26.5627). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2401 TZS (High: 24.2173 / Low: 23.9772).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.8573 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 27.0114) against the same month in 2020 (average: 38.4474), the exchange rate shifted by -11.4360 (-29.74%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 27.5838 | 26.5627 | 27.0114 |
| February | 26.4662 | 25.8009 | 26.1541 |
| March | 25.7445 | 25.2071 | 25.4725 |
| April | 25.3643 | 24.7995 | 25.0205 |
| May | 24.9311 | 24.5139 | 24.6653 |
| June | 24.5061 | 24.2362 | 24.3600 |
| July | 24.2173 | 23.9772 | 24.0990 |
| August | 24.0212 | 23.7036 | 23.8698 |
| September | 23.7318 | 23.2926 | 23.5924 |
| October | 23.3524 | 23.0788 | 23.2139 |
| November | 23.0816 | 22.7828 | 22.9349 |
| December | 22.7772 | 22.3981 | 22.6043 |