YEARLY HIGH
124.8748 UZS
YEARLY LOW
105.3657 UZS
YEARLY AVERAGE
111.8727 UZS

2021 ARS to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 124.8748. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 105.3657.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.5091 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 122.0643 to the December average rate of 106.1454, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 124.8748 was down 21.80% compared to the 2020 peak of 159.6963, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 624,374 UZS
2020 Average 717,194 UZS
Yearly Trough Low 526,828 UZS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 97,545.59 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

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123.6562
104.5535
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 115.4735, compared to 108.2720 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.2014 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 115.4735
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 108.2720

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 4.6897 UZS (High: 124.8748 / Low: 120.1851). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5341 UZS (High: 107.2759 / Low: 106.7418).

January Spread (Volatile) Âą4.6897
November Spread (Stable) Âą0.5341

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 3.4200 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.4200

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 122.0643) against the same month in 2020 (average: 159.1612), the exchange rate shifted by -37.0969 (-23.31%).

2021 Avg (January) 122.0643
2020 Avg (January) 159.1612

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Month High Low Average
January 124.8748 120.1851 122.0643
February 120.1720 117.1065 118.7510
March 116.7540 113.9632 115.3310
April 114.6508 112.5341 113.3597
May 112.7773 111.7156 112.2441
June 111.6291 110.5581 111.0906
July 110.8237 109.7940 110.3643
August 110.0971 108.8948 109.5960
September 109.2698 108.2850 108.7288
October 108.4405 107.1217 107.7989
November 107.2759 106.7418 106.9988
December 106.6855 105.3657 106.1454