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2026 AUD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026
During 2026, the AUD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 2711.3357. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 2327.7148.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 383.6210 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2419.4977 to the December average rate of 2626.2638, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 2711.3357 was up 11.81% compared to the 2025 peak of 2425.0295, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AUD based on timing:
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AUD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 2581.6867, compared to 2602.5266 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 20.8399 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 191.0762 UGX (High: 2518.7910 / Low: 2327.7148). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.2390 UGX (High: 2632.2758 / Low: 2623.0368).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 93.0965 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 2701.2257) against the same month in 2025 (average: 2353.5610), the exchange rate shifted by +347.6648 (+14.77%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2518.7910 | 2327.7148 | 2419.4977 |
| February | 2562.6533 | 2469.4506 | 2515.5937 |
| March | 2681.0512 | 2539.5897 | 2613.6931 |
| April | 2679.4154 | 2577.4602 | 2631.9806 |
| May | 2711.3357 | 2691.6173 | 2701.2257 |
| June | 2706.8556 | 2526.4367 | 2608.1292 |
| July | 2633.2201 | 2526.7061 | 2578.7894 |
| August | 2632.2758 | 2623.0368 | 2626.2638 |