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2021 BAM to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the BAM to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 21, valuing the pair at 1250.5192. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 7, dropping to 1140.0924.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 110.4268 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1228.3423 to the December average rate of 1156.1223, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1250.5192 was up 1.07% compared to the 2020 peak of 1237.2879, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:
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BAM to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 1223.7472, compared to 1185.3557 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 38.3915 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 46.9769 CDF (High: 1236.2673 / Low: 1189.2904). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 18.9955 CDF (High: 1214.8351 / Low: 1195.8396).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 21.5742 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 1239.1071) against the same month in 2020 (average: 995.7900), the exchange rate shifted by +243.3171 (+24.43%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1243.7005 | 1219.3910 | 1228.3423 |
| February | 1233.6568 | 1212.1420 | 1224.1716 |
| March | 1225.5004 | 1192.8067 | 1209.3191 |
| April | 1236.2673 | 1189.2904 | 1214.8023 |
| May | 1250.5192 | 1224.6990 | 1239.1071 |
| June | 1245.7197 | 1209.8018 | 1226.7407 |
| July | 1214.8351 | 1195.8396 | 1205.1665 |
| August | 1211.9465 | 1187.2440 | 1196.6411 |
| September | 1205.8123 | 1179.1046 | 1199.2820 |
| October | 1198.5044 | 1171.2636 | 1185.7545 |
| November | 1189.1441 | 1147.7433 | 1169.1678 |
| December | 1159.5056 | 1140.0924 | 1156.1223 |