YEARLY HIGH
5.0377 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.6060 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8434 MOP

2021 BAM to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BAM to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 5.0377. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 24, dropping to 4.6060.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4317 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9725 to the December average rate of 4.6431, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.0377 was up 0.52% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.0115, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,189 MOP
2020 Average 23,306 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 23,030 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,158.67 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

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5.0055
4.6101
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9252, compared to 4.7616 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1636 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9252
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7616

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.1501 MOP (High: 4.7561 / Low: 4.6060). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0327 MOP (High: 4.6549 / Low: 4.6222).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1501
December Spread (Stable) Âą0.0327

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0859 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0859

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 4.9725) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.5455), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4270 (+9.39%).

2021 Avg (January) 4.9725
2020 Avg (January) 4.5455

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Month High Low Average
January 5.0377 4.9260 4.9725
February 4.9671 4.8912 4.9367
March 4.9275 4.8035 4.8652
April 4.9556 4.8070 4.8856
May 5.0068 4.9139 4.9654
June 4.9941 4.8639 4.9259
July 4.8795 4.8128 4.8400
August 4.8724 4.7924 4.8250
September 4.8610 4.7464 4.8270
October 4.7752 4.7311 4.7543
November 4.7561 4.6060 4.6805
December 4.6549 4.6222 4.6431