YEARLY HIGH
47.1558 RUB
YEARLY LOW
41.2956 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
44.5987 RUB

2021 BAM to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BAM to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 47.1558. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 41.2956.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.8602 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 46.3622 to the December average rate of 42.6804, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 47.1558 was down 1.76% compared to the 2020 peak of 47.9984, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 235,779 RUB
2020 Average 211,242 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 206,478 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,301.22 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

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46.8630
41.9023
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 45.7891, compared to 43.4084 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.3807 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 45.7891
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 43.4084

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 2.0304 RUB (High: 46.4115 / Low: 44.3811). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7604 RUB (High: 44.7343 / Low: 43.9739).

March Spread (Volatile) Âą2.0304
August Spread (Stable) Âą0.7604

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.5875 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5875

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 46.3622) against the same month in 2020 (average: 35.1281), the exchange rate shifted by +11.2341 (+31.98%).

2021 Avg (January) 46.3622
2020 Avg (January) 35.1281

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Month High Low Average
January 47.1558 45.4561 46.3622
February 47.0797 45.4798 45.9503
March 46.4115 44.3811 45.3455
April 47.1096 45.7810 46.4496
May 46.5169 45.3844 45.9083
June 45.9606 44.0698 44.7188
July 45.2687 44.3431 44.7264
August 44.7343 43.9739 44.2671
September 44.5588 43.0392 43.9032
October 43.1101 41.2956 42.3157
November 43.5797 41.8852 42.5574
December 43.2789 42.3336 42.6804