YEARLY HIGH
4.0530 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.0015 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0361 MOP

2018 BBD to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BBD to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 11, valuing the pair at 4.0530. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 18, dropping to 4.0015.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0515 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0262 to the December average rate of 4.0293, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.0530 was down 0.01% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.0534, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,265 MOP
2017 Average 20,060 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 20,008 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 257.40 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

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4.0440
4.0246
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BBD to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0365, compared to 4.0357 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0365
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0357

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0442 MOP (High: 4.0476 / Low: 4.0034). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0076 MOP (High: 4.0329 / Low: 4.0253).

January Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0442
February Spread (Stable) Âą0.0076

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0055 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0055

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 4.0413) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.0154), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0259 (+0.64%).

2018 Avg (July) 4.0413
2017 Avg (July) 4.0154

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Month High Low Average
January 4.0476 4.0034 4.0262
February 4.0329 4.0253 4.0291
March 4.0457 4.0273 4.0374
April 4.0459 4.0262 4.0417
May 4.0527 4.0361 4.0424
June 4.0494 4.0360 4.0419
July 4.0530 4.0385 4.0413
August 4.0468 4.0275 4.0410
September 4.0468 4.0201 4.0370
October 4.0484 4.0194 4.0355
November 4.0354 4.0015 4.0300
December 4.0480 4.0196 4.0293