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2012 BBD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012
During 2012, the BBD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 1349.1685. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 1155.0115.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 194.1570 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1206.0494 to the December average rate of 1336.5729, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1349.1685 was down 6.47% compared to the 2011 peak of 1442.5471, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BBD based on timing:
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BBD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 1224.6246, compared to 1279.9697 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 55.3451 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 78.2533 UGX (High: 1239.9997 / Low: 1161.7464). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.8805 UGX (High: 1242.2649 / Low: 1232.3845).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 38.4664 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 1336.5729) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1225.5509), the exchange rate shifted by +111.0220 (+9.06%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1239.9997 | 1161.7464 | 1206.0494 |
| February | 1224.4039 | 1155.0115 | 1167.5831 |
| March | 1280.4241 | 1223.6827 | 1240.8682 |
| April | 1258.2137 | 1240.0018 | 1251.1117 |
| May | 1254.9297 | 1225.3813 | 1239.1805 |
| June | 1254.6429 | 1234.4415 | 1242.9548 |
| July | 1242.2649 | 1232.3845 | 1237.5648 |
| August | 1261.0466 | 1238.1299 | 1246.4069 |
| September | 1280.1000 | 1246.9750 | 1258.2595 |
| October | 1299.9042 | 1273.0683 | 1290.9729 |
| November | 1347.4423 | 1290.6430 | 1310.0414 |
| December | 1349.1685 | 1325.3113 | 1336.5729 |