YEARLY HIGH
696.2586 CDF
YEARLY LOW
595.8413 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
648.7181 CDF

2011 BGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 696.2586. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 595.8413.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 100.4172 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 619.6111 to the December average rate of 609.2079, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 696.2586 was up 5.03% compared to the 2010 peak of 662.9401, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,481,293 CDF
2010 Average 3,037,128 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 2,979,207 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 502,086.22 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

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679.8444
602.7864
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 653.8513, compared to 643.5850 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.2663 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 653.8513
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 643.5850

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 43.6462 CDF (High: 663.3058 / Low: 619.6597). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 16.7426 CDF (High: 647.3029 / Low: 630.5604).

October Spread (Volatile) Âą43.6462
February Spread (Stable) Âą16.7426

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 22.4073 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -22.4073

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2011: 670.4058) against the same month in 2010 (average: 580.0626), the exchange rate shifted by +90.3433 (+15.57%).

2011 Avg (May) 670.4058
2010 Avg (May) 580.0626

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Month High Low Average
January 639.6940 599.2222 619.6111
February 647.3029 630.5604 638.5901
March 663.1504 644.3363 653.4456
April 691.3268 656.3508 673.4229
May 696.2586 653.4654 670.4058
June 681.3283 653.9037 667.6321
July 679.5605 648.5061 665.8462
August 678.4757 655.0709 667.8324
September 670.0703 627.2700 645.4251
October 663.3058 619.6597 642.5454
November 644.3001 611.3441 630.6529
December 624.8804 595.8413 609.2079