YEARLY HIGH
17.8153 UAH
YEARLY LOW
15.2655 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.5095 UAH

2021 BGN to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BGN to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 17.8153. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 11, dropping to 15.2655.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5498 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.5601 to the December average rate of 15.7245, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 17.8153 was up 0.09% compared to the 2020 peak of 17.7989, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 89,076 UAH
2020 Average 78,826 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 76,328 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,748.83 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

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17.7708
15.2416
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.1094, compared to 15.9096 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1998 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.1094
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.9096

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 0.6786 UAH (High: 17.1570 / Low: 16.4784). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2488 UAH (High: 17.2659 / Low: 17.0170).

June Spread (Volatile) Âą0.6786
May Spread (Stable) Âą0.2488

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.4667 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4667

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 17.5601) against the same month in 2020 (average: 13.7202), the exchange rate shifted by +3.8399 (+27.99%).

2021 Avg (January) 17.5601
2020 Avg (January) 13.7202

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Month High Low Average
January 17.8153 17.3636 17.5601
February 17.3635 17.0367 17.2447
March 17.2596 16.6653 16.9046
April 17.3462 16.7003 17.0612
May 17.2659 17.0170 17.1368
June 17.1570 16.4784 16.7490
July 16.6125 16.2580 16.4409
August 16.3229 15.8862 16.1117
September 16.3701 15.7586 16.0975
October 15.7863 15.5181 15.6308
November 15.7381 15.2655 15.4524
December 15.8431 15.5255 15.7245