YEARLY HIGH
9863.4313 UGX
YEARLY LOW
9329.1174 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
9514.9295 UGX

2021 BHD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BHD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 9863.4313. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 9329.1174.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 534.3138 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9789.2664 to the December average rate of 9429.4969, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 9863.4313 was down 4.89% compared to the 2020 peak of 10370.2470, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BHD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 49,317,156 UGX
2020 Average 49,271,591 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 46,645,587 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,671,569.21 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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9831.7844
9321.5685
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BHD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9610.9522, compared to 9418.9068 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 192.0454 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9610.9522
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9418.9068

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 240.7813 UGX (High: 9627.5878 / Low: 9386.8064). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 37.1160 UGX (High: 9725.5438 / Low: 9688.4279).

October Spread (Volatile) Âą240.7813
March Spread (Stable) Âą37.1160

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 192.3901 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -192.3901

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 9789.2664) against the same month in 2020 (average: 9756.3589), the exchange rate shifted by +32.9076 (+0.34%).

2021 Avg (January) 9789.2664
2020 Avg (January) 9756.3589

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Month High Low Average
January 9863.4313 9695.3731 9789.2664
February 9759.3907 9706.4425 9726.0621
March 9725.5438 9688.4279 9712.3872
April 9718.5000 9484.1309 9619.2990
May 9534.7519 9372.5580 9426.9089
June 9440.8323 9329.1174 9391.7898
July 9456.7563 9386.7141 9419.1984
August 9421.4044 9362.5749 9385.1261
September 9444.0765 9336.5957 9364.0865
October 9627.5878 9386.8064 9489.1932
November 9496.3565 9358.2852 9426.3396
December 9471.3465 9388.7274 9429.4969