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2010 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2010
During 2010, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 2.0634. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 1.6700.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3934 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6962 to the December average rate of 2.0317, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:
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BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 1.8361, compared to 1.9988 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.1627 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2010 was May, with a trading range of 0.1432 UGX (High: 1.9841 / Low: 1.8408). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0236 UGX (High: 2.0336 / Low: 2.0100).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0290 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineHistorical data for the previous year (2009) is currently unavailable. Strongest month average for December 2010 is 2.0317.
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1.7198 | 1.6700 | 1.6962 |
| February | 1.7985 | 1.7109 | 1.7600 |
| March | 1.8847 | 1.7932 | 1.8295 |
| April | 1.8487 | 1.8177 | 1.8273 |
| May | 1.9841 | 1.8408 | 1.9163 |
| June | 2.0110 | 1.9415 | 1.9876 |
| July | 2.0169 | 1.9586 | 1.9932 |
| August | 1.9934 | 1.9347 | 1.9642 |
| September | 2.0053 | 1.9658 | 1.9891 |
| October | 2.0255 | 1.9766 | 1.9965 |
| November | 2.0336 | 2.0100 | 2.0183 |
| December | 2.0634 | 2.0097 | 2.0317 |