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2011 BMD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011
During 2011, the BMD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 4, valuing the pair at 32.8055. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 4, dropping to 27.3154.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.4901 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.1864 to the December average rate of 31.5118, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 32.8055 was up 3.32% compared to the 2010 peak of 31.7503, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:
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BMD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 28.6381, compared to 30.1717 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 1.5335 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 3.4665 RUB (High: 32.4050 / Low: 28.9384). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6731 RUB (High: 28.8316 / Low: 28.1584).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.9337 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 31.2730) against the same month in 2010 (average: 30.3278), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9452 (+3.12%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 30.8616 | 29.7045 | 30.1864 |
| February | 29.7340 | 28.7502 | 29.2527 |
| March | 28.8316 | 28.1584 | 28.4228 |
| April | 28.3765 | 27.4547 | 28.0670 |
| May | 28.5901 | 27.3154 | 27.9289 |
| June | 28.3603 | 27.6283 | 27.9711 |
| July | 28.2890 | 27.5693 | 27.8936 |
| August | 29.7938 | 27.6652 | 28.8339 |
| September | 32.4050 | 28.9384 | 30.6787 |
| October | 32.8055 | 29.8252 | 31.2730 |
| November | 31.6238 | 30.3369 | 30.8390 |
| December | 32.2334 | 30.7227 | 31.5118 |