YEARLY HIGH
539.5759 UGX
YEARLY LOW
505.3017 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
519.6151 UGX

2021 BOB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BOB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 539.5759. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 13, dropping to 505.3017.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 34.2742 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 535.7036 to the December average rate of 515.2302, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 539.5759 was down 5.01% compared to the 2020 peak of 568.0491, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BOB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,697,879 UGX
2020 Average 2,692,457 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,526,509 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 171,370.76 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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538.1374
508.9313
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BOB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 524.7538, compared to 514.4765 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.2774 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 524.7538
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 514.4765

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 12.9069 UGX (High: 525.5660 / Low: 512.6592). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.3779 UGX (High: 531.5462 / Low: 528.1683).

October Spread (Volatile) Âą12.9069
March Spread (Stable) Âą3.3779

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 10.3355 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.3355

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 535.7036) against the same month in 2020 (average: 531.9437), the exchange rate shifted by +3.7599 (+0.71%).

2021 Avg (January) 535.7036
2020 Avg (January) 531.9437

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Month High Low Average
January 539.5759 528.2879 535.7036
February 533.7152 529.2861 530.7941
March 531.5462 528.1683 530.1472
April 529.7200 518.0317 525.2193
May 520.7787 511.9508 514.8838
June 515.5632 505.3017 511.7750
July 516.3063 512.4859 514.4532
August 514.8633 511.2113 512.5310
September 515.5853 509.7745 511.3652
October 525.5660 512.6592 518.1683
November 519.2421 511.0769 515.1109
December 517.7722 512.5801 515.2302