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2021 BRL to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the BRL to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 14, valuing the pair at 9.9182. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 8, dropping to 8.2849.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6333 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.9752 to the December average rate of 8.8981, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 9.9182 was down 21.32% compared to the 2020 peak of 12.6052, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:
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BRL to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 8.9661, compared to 9.3146 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.3484 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 0.6176 PHP (High: 9.8888 / Low: 9.2712). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3059 PHP (High: 9.6912 / Low: 9.3854).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3551 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2021: 9.6901) against the same month in 2020 (average: 9.3399), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3502 (+3.75%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 9.3078 | 8.7663 | 8.9752 |
| February | 9.0094 | 8.6914 | 8.9167 |
| March | 8.8481 | 8.2849 | 8.6088 |
| April | 9.0759 | 8.4736 | 8.6840 |
| May | 9.1686 | 8.8231 | 9.0359 |
| June | 9.8888 | 9.2712 | 9.5762 |
| July | 9.9182 | 9.5033 | 9.6901 |
| August | 9.7174 | 9.3201 | 9.5542 |
| September | 9.6912 | 9.3854 | 9.5190 |
| October | 9.4781 | 8.9117 | 9.1639 |
| November | 9.2699 | 8.8930 | 9.0621 |
| December | 9.2081 | 8.6822 | 8.8981 |