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2013 BTN to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013
During 2013, the BTN to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 27, valuing the pair at 2.0113. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 28, dropping to 1.5531.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4582 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9333 to the December average rate of 1.6533, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2.0113 was down 8.84% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.2064, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:
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BTN to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 1.9429, compared to 1.6861 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.2568 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 0.1996 ALL (High: 1.7527 / Low: 1.5531). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0304 ALL (High: 1.6715 / Low: 1.6411).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1392 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 1.9817) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.1034), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1217 (-5.79%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1.9557 | 1.9077 | 1.9333 |
| February | 1.9775 | 1.9241 | 1.9442 |
| March | 2.0113 | 1.9517 | 1.9817 |
| April | 2.0101 | 1.9616 | 1.9809 |
| May | 2.0056 | 1.9183 | 1.9782 |
| June | 1.9132 | 1.7914 | 1.8390 |
| July | 1.8199 | 1.7403 | 1.7949 |
| August | 1.7527 | 1.5531 | 1.6800 |
| September | 1.6845 | 1.5737 | 1.6499 |
| October | 1.7098 | 1.6536 | 1.6782 |
| November | 1.6854 | 1.6377 | 1.6602 |
| December | 1.6715 | 1.6411 | 1.6533 |