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2018 BTN to CLP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the BTN to CLP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 9.9388. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 9.0181.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9207 CLP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.5156 to the December average rate of 9.6919, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 9.9388 was down 10.00% compared to the 2017 peak of 11.0429, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:
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BTN to CLP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 9.3190, compared to 9.4579 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.1389 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.5986 CLP (High: 9.6714 / Low: 9.0727). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1878 CLP (High: 9.6271 / Low: 9.4393).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2441 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 9.6919) against the same month in 2017 (average: 9.8853), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1934 (-1.96%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 9.6271 | 9.4393 | 9.5156 |
| February | 9.4655 | 9.0682 | 9.2715 |
| March | 9.3879 | 9.1510 | 9.2912 |
| April | 9.3309 | 9.0301 | 9.1549 |
| May | 9.4543 | 9.1576 | 9.2852 |
| June | 9.5487 | 9.3024 | 9.3957 |
| July | 9.6540 | 9.3003 | 9.4980 |
| August | 9.6068 | 9.3641 | 9.4708 |
| September | 9.6714 | 9.0727 | 9.4215 |
| October | 9.4449 | 9.0181 | 9.2330 |
| November | 9.6435 | 9.2927 | 9.4323 |
| December | 9.9388 | 9.4188 | 9.6919 |