YEARLY HIGH
2.8236 DJF
YEARLY LOW
2.3943 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.6070 DJF

2018 BTN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BTN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 2.8236. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 9, dropping to 2.3943.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4293 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.8087 to the December average rate of 2.5202, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.8236 was down 7.10% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.0395, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,118 DJF
2017 Average 13,744 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 11,971 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,146.73 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

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2.8476
2.3801
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7072, compared to 2.5068 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7072
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5068

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.1319 DJF (High: 2.5559 / Low: 2.4241). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0173 DJF (High: 2.7322 / Low: 2.7149).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1319
March Spread (Stable) Âą0.0173

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0886 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0886

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 2.8087) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.6247), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1839 (+7.01%).

2018 Avg (January) 2.8087
2017 Avg (January) 2.6247

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Month High Low Average
January 2.8236 2.7915 2.8087
February 2.8024 2.7156 2.7585
March 2.7322 2.7149 2.7228
April 2.7256 2.6464 2.6940
May 2.6585 2.6066 2.6324
June 2.6588 2.5900 2.6270
July 2.6020 2.5791 2.5914
August 2.5999 2.5095 2.5601
September 2.5095 2.4497 2.4716
October 2.4438 2.3943 2.4191
November 2.5559 2.4241 2.4783
December 2.5531 2.4731 2.5202