YEARLY HIGH
4.4236 HUF
YEARLY LOW
4.0342 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1889 HUF

2016 BTN to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BTN to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 4.4236. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 4.0342.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3893 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3013 to the December average rate of 4.3630, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.4236 was down 4.38% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.6264, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,118 HUF
2015 Average 21,784 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 20,171 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,946.62 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

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4.3900
4.0661
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1688, compared to 4.2090 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0402 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1688
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2090

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1766 HUF (High: 4.3010 / Low: 4.1244). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0531 HUF (High: 4.1599 / Low: 4.1068).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1766
April Spread (Stable) Âą0.0531

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2082 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2082

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 4.3630) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.3381), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0249 (+0.57%).

2016 Avg (December) 4.3630
2015 Avg (December) 4.3381

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Month High Low Average
January 4.3855 4.2094 4.3013
February 4.2076 4.0342 4.0931
March 4.2198 4.1167 4.1733
April 4.1599 4.1068 4.1350
May 4.2156 4.0695 4.1608
June 4.2423 4.0884 4.1493
July 4.2678 4.1633 4.2267
August 4.1999 4.0842 4.1352
September 4.1649 4.0768 4.1229
October 4.2458 4.0837 4.1707
November 4.3010 4.1244 4.2354
December 4.4236 4.2848 4.3630