YEARLY HIGH
1.5214 KES
YEARLY LOW
1.4179 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4849 KES

2021 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 1.5214. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 13, dropping to 1.4179.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1035 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5035 to the December average rate of 1.5004, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.5214 was up 0.19% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.5185, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,607 KES
2020 Average 7,189 KES
Yearly Trough Low 7,090 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 517.69 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.5147
1.4467
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4847, compared to 1.4851 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4847
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4851

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0694 KES (High: 1.4873 / Low: 1.4179). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0173 KES (High: 1.4625 / Low: 1.4452).

April Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0694
July Spread (Stable) Âą0.0173

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0560 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0560

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 1.5004) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.5008), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0004 (-0.03%).

2021 Avg (December) 1.5004
2020 Avg (December) 1.5008

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Month High Low Average
January 1.5144 1.4932 1.5035
February 1.5184 1.5010 1.5089
March 1.5211 1.4896 1.5090
April 1.4873 1.4179 1.4530
May 1.4872 1.4470 1.4678
June 1.4822 1.4501 1.4657
July 1.4625 1.4452 1.4524
August 1.5063 1.4609 1.4739
September 1.5069 1.4892 1.4981
October 1.4913 1.4680 1.4810
November 1.5135 1.4857 1.5046
December 1.5214 1.4795 1.5004