YEARLY HIGH
0.1641 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.1398 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1519 MOP

2012 BTN to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BTN to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 0.1641. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 27, dropping to 0.1398.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0243 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1562 to the December average rate of 0.1460, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.1641 was down 9.92% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.1821, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 820 MOP
2011 Average 862 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 699 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 121.25 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.1641
0.1409
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1536, compared to 0.1502 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0034 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1536
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1502

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.0134 MOP (High: 0.1566 / Low: 0.1432). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 MOP (High: 0.1561 / Low: 0.1541).

July Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0134
August Spread (Stable) Âą0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0076 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0076

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 0.1622) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.1764), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0143 (-8.09%).

2012 Avg (February) 0.1622
2011 Avg (February) 0.1764

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Month High Low Average
January 0.1620 0.1503 0.1562
February 0.1641 0.1595 0.1622
March 0.1614 0.1560 0.1588
April 0.1579 0.1516 0.1547
May 0.1516 0.1424 0.1471
June 0.1453 0.1398 0.1428
July 0.1566 0.1432 0.1497
August 0.1561 0.1541 0.1553
September 0.1599 0.1470 0.1538
October 0.1609 0.1477 0.1507
November 0.1488 0.1431 0.1456
December 0.1477 0.1450 0.1460