YEARLY HIGH
1.6099 RSD
YEARLY LOW
1.2649 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4609 RSD

2013 BTN to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the BTN to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 28, valuing the pair at 1.6099. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 28, dropping to 1.2649.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3450 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5502 to the December average rate of 1.3528, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.6099 was down 14.76% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.8886, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,050 RSD
2012 Average 8,348 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 6,325 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,724.92 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.6076
1.3217
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5499, compared to 1.3719 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1780 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5499
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3719

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 0.1579 RSD (High: 1.4229 / Low: 1.2649). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0264 RSD (High: 1.3689 / Low: 1.3425).

August Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1579
December Spread (Stable) Âą0.0264

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0891 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0891

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 1.5838) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.6646), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0808 (-4.86%).

2013 Avg (March) 1.5838
2012 Avg (March) 1.6646

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Month High Low Average
January 1.5685 1.5313 1.5502
February 1.5753 1.5270 1.5489
March 1.6099 1.5572 1.5838
April 1.6049 1.5562 1.5736
May 1.5734 1.5289 1.5567
June 1.5357 1.4528 1.4864
July 1.4738 1.4137 1.4566
August 1.4229 1.2649 1.3674
September 1.3667 1.2861 1.3456
October 1.3798 1.3421 1.3589
November 1.3703 1.3325 1.3502
December 1.3689 1.3425 1.3528