YEARLY HIGH
1.0579 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.9268 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9981 RUB

2021 BTN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BTN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 23, valuing the pair at 1.0579. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 0.9268.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1311 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0189 to the December average rate of 0.9807, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.0579 was down 3.01% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.0908, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,290 RUB
2020 Average 4,880 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 4,634 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 655.54 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.0327
0.9453
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0146, compared to 0.9816 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0330 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0146
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9816

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.0592 RUB (High: 1.0153 / Low: 0.9561). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0126 RUB (High: 1.0163 / Low: 1.0037).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0592
May Spread (Stable) Âą0.0126

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0388 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0388

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2021: 1.0254) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.0032), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0223 (+2.22%).

2021 Avg (March) 1.0254
2020 Avg (March) 1.0032

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Month High Low Average
January 1.0432 1.0033 1.0189
February 1.0463 1.0107 1.0229
March 1.0579 1.0046 1.0254
April 1.0568 0.9996 1.0238
May 1.0163 1.0037 1.0100
June 1.0086 0.9730 0.9867
July 1.0020 0.9834 0.9929
August 1.0055 0.9817 0.9918
September 0.9995 0.9799 0.9913
October 0.9818 0.9268 0.9526
November 1.0153 0.9561 0.9804
December 1.0057 0.9646 0.9807