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2018 BTN to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the BTN to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 9.2624. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 9, dropping to 7.7931.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4693 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.1126 to the December average rate of 8.2099, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 9.2624 was down 6.19% compared to the 2017 peak of 9.8736, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:
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BTN to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 8.8208, compared to 8.1515 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.6694 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.4196 SOS (High: 8.3095 / Low: 7.8899). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0880 SOS (High: 8.4692 / Low: 8.3812).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2890 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 9.1126) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.4867), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6259 (+7.38%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 9.2624 | 9.0118 | 9.1126 |
| February | 9.1468 | 8.9332 | 9.0231 |
| March | 9.0105 | 8.8828 | 8.9339 |
| April | 8.9400 | 8.5701 | 8.7976 |
| May | 8.7004 | 8.4071 | 8.5439 |
| June | 8.6195 | 8.3793 | 8.5136 |
| July | 8.4692 | 8.3812 | 8.4205 |
| August | 8.4569 | 8.1572 | 8.3151 |
| September | 8.1572 | 7.9536 | 8.0261 |
| October | 7.9392 | 7.7931 | 7.8725 |
| November | 8.3095 | 7.8899 | 8.0646 |
| December | 8.3191 | 8.0489 | 8.2099 |