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2018 BTN to TZS Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the BTN to TZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 35.5066. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 9, dropping to 30.7738.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.7328 TZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.3145 to the December average rate of 32.5944, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 35.5066 was down 7.35% compared to the 2017 peak of 38.3248, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:
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BTN to TZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 34.5129, compared to 32.2244 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 2.2885 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 1.8461 TZS (High: 33.0290 / Low: 31.1829). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3250 TZS (High: 34.8909 / Low: 34.5659).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.1238 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 35.3145) against the same month in 2017 (average: 32.5545), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7600 (+8.48%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 35.5066 | 35.0633 | 35.3145 |
| February | 35.3449 | 34.5537 | 35.0042 |
| March | 34.8909 | 34.5659 | 34.7009 |
| April | 34.9164 | 34.1181 | 34.6148 |
| May | 34.3110 | 33.4263 | 33.8075 |
| June | 34.2108 | 33.0933 | 33.6353 |
| July | 33.3244 | 32.9263 | 33.1633 |
| August | 33.3109 | 32.2374 | 32.8257 |
| September | 32.2393 | 31.4300 | 31.7019 |
| October | 31.3624 | 30.7738 | 31.0938 |
| November | 33.0290 | 31.1829 | 31.9672 |
| December | 33.0352 | 31.9510 | 32.5944 |