YEARLY HIGH
43.2912 UGX
YEARLY LOW
38.6164 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
41.3771 UGX

2025 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 7, valuing the pair at 43.2912. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 38.6164.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.6748 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 42.7665 to the December average rate of 39.7035, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 43.2912 was down 9.20% compared to the 2024 peak of 47.6754, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 216,456 UGX
2024 Average 224,547 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 193,082 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,374.11 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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43.2723
38.8625
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 42.5446, compared to 40.2097 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.3350 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 42.5446
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 40.2097

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 2.0582 UGX (High: 41.2810 / Low: 39.2229). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6100 UGX (High: 42.5855 / Low: 41.9755).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą2.0582
February Spread (Stable) Âą0.6100

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.9634 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9634

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 42.8941) against the same month in 2024 (average: 45.8301), the exchange rate shifted by -2.9360 (-6.41%).

2025 Avg (April) 42.8941
2024 Avg (April) 45.8301

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Month High Low Average
January 43.1533 42.4632 42.7665
February 42.5855 41.9755 42.3080
March 42.8445 41.9958 42.3763
April 43.2912 42.6515 42.8941
May 43.1544 42.4692 42.9049
June 42.6399 41.5588 42.0180
July 42.0747 40.9315 41.6729
August 40.9867 40.2636 40.7144
September 40.2221 39.2561 39.7510
October 39.7403 38.6164 39.2300
November 41.2810 39.2229 40.1861
December 40.3004 39.1787 39.7035