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2016 BWP to RON Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the BWP to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.4046. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 11, dropping to 0.3510.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0536 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3621 to the December average rate of 0.3992, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.24% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4046 was down 3.34% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4185, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BWP based on timing:
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BWP to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.3623, compared to 0.3834 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.0212 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.0164 RON (High: 0.3723 / Low: 0.3559). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0051 RON (High: 0.3777 / Low: 0.3726).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0060 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.3992) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3749), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0243 (+6.49%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.3711 | 0.3559 | 0.3621 |
| February | 0.3667 | 0.3510 | 0.3580 |
| March | 0.3634 | 0.3517 | 0.3599 |
| April | 0.3723 | 0.3559 | 0.3652 |
| May | 0.3690 | 0.3567 | 0.3621 |
| June | 0.3725 | 0.3568 | 0.3662 |
| July | 0.3777 | 0.3726 | 0.3758 |
| August | 0.3863 | 0.3700 | 0.3793 |
| September | 0.3807 | 0.3644 | 0.3733 |
| October | 0.3906 | 0.3773 | 0.3829 |
| November | 0.3969 | 0.3851 | 0.3902 |
| December | 0.4046 | 0.3934 | 0.3992 |