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2016 BWP to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the BWP to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 2.5403. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 1.9971.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5432 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.1112 to the December average rate of 2.4472, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.5403 was down 15.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.9996, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BWP based on timing:
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BWP to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 2.2906, compared to 2.4057 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.1152 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.2319 UAH (High: 2.2291 / Low: 1.9971). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0619 UAH (High: 2.3312 / Low: 2.2693).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0728 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 2.4472) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.1261), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3211 (+15.10%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2.2291 | 1.9971 | 2.1112 |
| February | 2.4602 | 2.2400 | 2.3479 |
| March | 2.4189 | 2.2909 | 2.3544 |
| April | 2.4066 | 2.3364 | 2.3666 |
| May | 2.3726 | 2.2364 | 2.2938 |
| June | 2.3245 | 2.2372 | 2.2694 |
| July | 2.3312 | 2.2693 | 2.3023 |
| August | 2.4378 | 2.3418 | 2.3959 |
| September | 2.5266 | 2.4212 | 2.4686 |
| October | 2.4726 | 2.3903 | 2.4185 |
| November | 2.4564 | 2.3594 | 2.4019 |
| December | 2.5403 | 2.3834 | 2.4472 |