YEARLY HIGH
0.0610 NPR
YEARLY LOW
0.0580 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0594 NPR

2021 CDF to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the CDF to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 0.0610. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 29, dropping to 0.0580.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0031 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0593 to the December average rate of 0.0602, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0610 was down 23.08% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0794, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 305 NPR
2020 Average 321 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 290 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15.25 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.0604
0.0583
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0590, compared to 0.0597 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0007 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0590
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0597

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0020 NPR (High: 0.0606 / Low: 0.0586). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 NPR (High: 0.0601 / Low: 0.0594).

April Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0020
July Spread (Stable) Âą0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 0.0602) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0604), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0002 (-0.28%).

2021 Avg (December) 0.0602
2020 Avg (December) 0.0604

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Month High Low Average
January 0.0596 0.0588 0.0593
February 0.0590 0.0582 0.0587
March 0.0593 0.0580 0.0585
April 0.0606 0.0586 0.0598
May 0.0597 0.0580 0.0587
June 0.0598 0.0584 0.0591
July 0.0601 0.0594 0.0598
August 0.0599 0.0587 0.0597
September 0.0596 0.0588 0.0591
October 0.0607 0.0592 0.0599
November 0.0600 0.0590 0.0594
December 0.0610 0.0594 0.0602