YEARLY HIGH
0.2970 SOS
YEARLY LOW
0.2873 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2919 SOS

2021 CDF to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the CDF to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 0.2970. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 0.2873.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0096 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2944 to the December average rate of 0.2907, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.2970 was down 23.82% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.3898, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,485 SOS
2020 Average 1,577 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 1,437 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 48.07 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.2948
0.2896
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2927, compared to 0.2910 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0017 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2927
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2910

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.0056 SOS (High: 0.2929 / Low: 0.2873). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 SOS (High: 0.2925 / Low: 0.2909).

May Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0056
July Spread (Stable) Âą0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.2944) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.3441), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0497 (-14.44%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.2944
2020 Avg (January) 0.3441

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Month High Low Average
January 0.2970 0.2924 0.2944
February 0.2963 0.2911 0.2934
March 0.2953 0.2917 0.2927
April 0.2933 0.2893 0.2919
May 0.2929 0.2873 0.2914
June 0.2949 0.2910 0.2923
July 0.2925 0.2909 0.2913
August 0.2927 0.2902 0.2913
September 0.2940 0.2908 0.2916
October 0.2932 0.2903 0.2911
November 0.2915 0.2887 0.2900
December 0.2932 0.2883 0.2907