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2021 CDF to VND Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the CDF to VND exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 11.8438. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 7, dropping to 11.2642.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5796 VND. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.7039 to the December average rate of 11.4555, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 11.8438 was down 24.18% compared to the 2020 peak of 15.6202, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:
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CDF to VND Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 11.6010, compared to 11.4407 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.1603 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 0.2947 VND (High: 11.6471 / Low: 11.3524). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1129 VND (High: 11.4893 / Low: 11.3764).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0833 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 11.7039) against the same month in 2020 (average: 13.7387), the exchange rate shifted by -2.0348 (-14.81%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 11.8438 | 11.6364 | 11.7039 |
| February | 11.7084 | 11.5581 | 11.6206 |
| March | 11.7400 | 11.5131 | 11.5960 |
| April | 11.6661 | 11.5041 | 11.5786 |
| May | 11.6047 | 11.4568 | 11.5479 |
| June | 11.6751 | 11.4847 | 11.5590 |
| July | 11.6002 | 11.4608 | 11.5434 |
| August | 11.5961 | 11.4105 | 11.4931 |
| September | 11.4893 | 11.3764 | 11.4404 |
| October | 11.4775 | 11.2880 | 11.3948 |
| November | 11.3966 | 11.2642 | 11.3169 |
| December | 11.6471 | 11.3524 | 11.4555 |