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2016 COP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the COP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 25, valuing the pair at 7.8857. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 16, dropping to 6.4080.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4776 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.8731 to the December average rate of 7.7312, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.8857 was down 15.06% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.2843, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000,000 COP based on timing:
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COP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 7.0417, compared to 7.4918 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.4501 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 0.4863 STD (High: 7.5644 / Low: 7.0782). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2540 STD (High: 7.6266 / Low: 7.3726).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2761 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 7.7312) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.9257), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8055 (+11.63%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 7.0845 | 6.6916 | 6.8731 |
| February | 6.7864 | 6.4080 | 6.5988 |
| March | 7.2178 | 6.8898 | 7.0540 |
| April | 7.4452 | 6.9607 | 7.2019 |
| May | 7.4695 | 7.1374 | 7.2268 |
| June | 7.5475 | 7.0869 | 7.2956 |
| July | 7.5918 | 7.1538 | 7.4649 |
| August | 7.5644 | 7.0782 | 7.4014 |
| September | 7.6266 | 7.3726 | 7.4852 |
| October | 7.6801 | 7.3414 | 7.5721 |
| November | 7.4444 | 7.1867 | 7.2960 |
| December | 7.8857 | 7.4650 | 7.7312 |