YEARLY HIGH
6.0689 UGX
YEARLY LOW
5.4900 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7758 UGX

2021 CRC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the CRC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 20, valuing the pair at 6.0689. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 15, dropping to 5.4900.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5789 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0297 to the December average rate of 5.5782, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 6.0689 was down 11.61% compared to the 2020 peak of 6.8658, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CRC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,345 UGX
2020 Average 31,825 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 27,450 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,894.72 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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6.0769
5.5100
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CRC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8996, compared to 5.6521 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2475 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8996
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6521

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.2046 UGX (High: 5.7775 / Low: 5.5729). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0312 UGX (High: 6.0051 / Low: 5.9739).

October Spread (Volatile) Âą0.2046
February Spread (Stable) Âą0.0312

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1481 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1481

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 6.0297) against the same month in 2020 (average: 6.4726), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4429 (-6.84%).

2021 Avg (January) 6.0297
2020 Avg (January) 6.4726

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Month High Low Average
January 6.0689 5.9895 6.0297
February 6.0051 5.9739 5.9912
March 6.0040 5.9665 5.9862
April 5.9853 5.7906 5.9098
May 5.8213 5.7349 5.7617
June 5.7410 5.6825 5.7188
July 5.7508 5.7087 5.7291
August 5.7326 5.6755 5.6981
September 5.6893 5.6358 5.6515
October 5.7775 5.5729 5.6984
November 5.6768 5.4900 5.5572
December 5.6767 5.5073 5.5782